What Are You Watching Right Now?

Lamby @momoichi
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Lamby @momoichi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DOEzpSnDA_0

Lamby @momoichi
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Lamby @momoichi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIjfojS354s

αleph-01 @a1ephy
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
αleph-01 @a1ephy
Bruh, this video is a compilation of all the up to date GOW Ragnarok gameplay clips. Why can't they release a full gameplay trailer?
https://i.ani.me/0338/2032/hu1.jpg
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCwZ54EbtBw

αleph-01 @a1ephy
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
αleph-01 @a1ephy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_lYeNuBTE8
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
Insert a Gaussian into Bayes rule for a Bayesian inference on a frequentist distribution. I had never seen probabilities talk about probability. As mathematical statistician Nassim Taleb puts it, "meta" probability. The meta aspect really blew my mind.
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
"Unless you have a 100% probability of the data being Gaussian and you know that from God. You're not discovering it. There is the slightest doubt that the data is Gaussian. In the presence of any other probability distributions with fatter tails. You reject the Gaussian." (Nassim Taleb)
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) supposedly collapsed by a 10-sigma event. But it wasn’t a 10-sigma event. 10-sigma events are so out of human comprehension that it is only in the realm of God. Not referring to the God of the bible. But the God of Spinoza. To put it into perspective how often 10-sigma events happen. In the paper, How Unlucky is 25-Sigma? By Kevin Dowd, John Cotter, Chris Humphrey and Margaret Woods (link to paper below). There is a table that states that a 10-sigma events happens once every 5.249e+020 years. For comparison the universe is around 13.7 billion years old. Some quick and dirty math gives that a 10-sigma event is the equivalent to multiplying the age of the universe 13.7 billion years by 3.83 billion.
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
(13.7 billion years)*( 3.83 billion) = 5.249e+020 years
https://i.ani.me/0338/2804/10sigma0.jpg
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https://i.ani.me/0338/2808/10sigma.jpg
10-sigma is not once in a lifetime event. It is once in several billion upon billions of lifetimes. Truly incomprehensible numbers. Nassim Taleb is absolutely correct when he states that the only way you’ll know for sure if it’s a 10-sigma event, is if you got the information from God. Market crashes seem to happen a lot more often than what a simple normal distribution implies. What is the conclusion then? Do not use normal distributions to curve fit data into fat tail distributions. Especially for financial models of the stock market. You will get absolutely wrecked. As one of my professors used to say. For bad models. “Garbage in, garbage out.”
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
On a side note. I really need to buy Nassim Taleb's book Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, and applications.
https://i.ani.me/0327/2911/grey.jpg
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1103/1103.5672.pdf

Doll Mommy ® @wei_ying
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Doll Mommy ® @wei_ying
Some people need Jesus. Like... what is wrong with people sometimes!? I wanna fight anyone that hurts someone like these people did to these women https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CA-yk8-ALoc

αleph-01 @a1ephy
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
αleph-01 @a1ephy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AcTvkt8k0sE

Wik @wik
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Wik @wik
This cat is as big as a dog. WTF.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WEQjsh934vc

αleph-01 @a1ephy
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
αleph-01 @a1ephy
There was this Argentinian dude that went absolutely ham on the death of the Queen. What a fucking savage. Some backstory first. Just like in most countries. There are ultra nationalistic people. Argentina isn't immune to ultra nationalistic fervor. Hence Argentina also has ultra nationalistic people. Argentina lost the Falkland war against the UK. Some ultra nationalistic Argentinians are still salty AF because they lost the war against the UK. And because they lost the Falkland war. Many ultra nationalistic dudes in Argentina absolutely hate the British. What is the most common symbol of the British? The British Monarchy. The dude was absolutely happy that the Queen died. Oh the disrespect ROFL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRsaXdTH0nI
Rough translation starting at min 3:25 to min 4:56. Referring to the death of the Queen: "The old hag son of bitch is dead. Let's give a round of applause to Satan for taking her. She's no longer here. The old hag is dead. The English covered her (referencing that they put in her in a coffin). She's like a fallen dead tree on the street (refencing that dead people don't move like dead trees). Old hag of shit. I promised that I would make a toast for this British trash. This trash of Lucifer. This trash of the Amazons (I don't understand why she's trash of the Amazon, since she's British xD). She's off from this planet earth and this is good news for everyone. Finally the right person dies in life. *pops champagne bottle* Hey lets toast a little bit. (other people reacting to the video are speaking and can't understand a certain section). Now she's dead. Now were celebrating for all the fucking piece of shit English that belong to the pirate thieving genocidal crown. She's been a torment. This nazi son a bitch. (other people reacting to the video are speaking and can't understand a certain section). Now they're preparing the body of this trash. Her body should be ripped apart and every single one of her organs should be taken to her former colonies, from this piece of trash."
https://i.ani.me/0335/4429/evilcat.jpg

Disdain for Plebs @nebelstern
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Disdain for Plebs @nebelstern
I actually laughed, but if an *rgentine speaks, I am automatically against. If Jesus was *rgentine, I would defend with all my life that Nero, Severus and Diocletian did nothing wrong

Jin @jin67
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What Are You Watching Right Now?
Jin @jin67
https://youtu.be/C9U7zASyHRo
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